9.17更新后强化几率再次“暗改”,史派克强行逼退玩家
<p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 16px; margin-bottom: 16px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px;">DNF地下城与勇士近期的强化活动一波接一波、再加上强化器各种送,玩家终于可以畅快的体验强化了。可是经过玩家的实测,我们忽然发现强化几率遭到了暗调,虽然是概率性事件,但是学过概率论的玩家都知道,在大数据的条件下频数是和频率(概率)无限接近的。也许你强化10次、20次没那么明显,但是到了100次、200次所计算出的成功率应该和官网的强化成功率,差不出3个百分点才对!举个简单的例子,抛硬币的话100次结果正反面之比会在1:1左右徘徊。</p><div class="pgc-img" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px;"><img src="http://p1.pstatp.com/large/pgc-image/15371995698294dd2f8423c" img_width="640" img_height="473" alt="DNF 9.17更新后强化几率再次“暗改”,史派克强行逼退玩家" inline="0" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; border-style: none; max-width: 100%; display: block; margin: 10px auto;"><p class="pgc-img-caption" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; text-align: center; font-size: 12px; color: rgb(119, 119, 119); line-height: 16px;"></p></div><h1 style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 24px; margin-top: 36px; margin-bottom: 22px; line-height: 32px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box;">强化几率实测</span></h1><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 16px; margin-bottom: 16px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px;">首先我们拿出本次实测的数据:<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700;">1100个强化器+90圣耀武器。</span>总体就是测试11上12的概率、测试对象是90的史诗武器。由于不需要保护券,所以升本比较低,顺带还能初略的测试+13的概率,不过考虑到数据库比较小,12的成功率太低了,所以仅仅是一个小数据的结论,没太大的说服性,小编会给出一个大致的分析结果,大家不要觉得小编脸白、脸黑,我们是用数据说话的!</p><div class="pgc-img" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px;"><img src="http://p1.pstatp.com/large/pgc-image/15371995698217d414b47b7" img_width="550" img_height="473" alt="DNF 9.17更新后强化几率再次“暗改”,史派克强行逼退玩家" inline="0" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; border-style: none; max-width: 100%; display: block; margin: 10px auto;"><p class="pgc-img-caption" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; text-align: center; font-size: 12px; color: rgb(119, 119, 119); line-height: 16px;"></p></div><h1 style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 24px; margin-top: 36px; margin-bottom: 22px; line-height: 32px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box;">强化数据展示</span></h1><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 16px; margin-bottom: 16px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px;">我们1100个强化器、还有若干强化卷,总之大概是<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700;">152次上11成功!</span>这个数据应该准确,因为+11成功没有截图的,所以是计数统计的,有10个左右的误差吧(可能计少了)。我们定为160次,也就是160次冲击12的测试。这个数据比较有说服力的!毕竟按照官方18%的+12成功率,我们至少能冲击20从左右的12,这个是符合概率论的理论数据的。但是你会发现;史派克的概率低得可怕:<span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; font-weight: 700;">冲击12是13次截图。</span>也就是说+12的成功率是8%点左右,低于实际数据10个百分点,这就可怕了!</p><div class="pgc-img" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px;"><img src="http://p1.pstatp.com/large/pgc-image/15371995698496ad405d729" img_width="550" img_height="475" alt="DNF 9.17更新后强化几率再次“暗改”,史派克强行逼退玩家" inline="0" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; border-style: none; max-width: 100%; display: block; margin: 10px auto;"><p class="pgc-img-caption" style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; text-align: center; font-size: 12px; color: rgb(119, 119, 119); line-height: 16px;"></p></div><h1 style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; font-size: 24px; margin-top: 36px; margin-bottom: 22px; line-height: 32px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif;"><span style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box;">总结</span></h1><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 16px; margin-bottom: 16px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px;">总体的感觉是+10的成功率还可以,+11的差不多符合官方的26%的概率,但是+12的就有点可怕了,由于想在的保护券比较实惠,小编测试了13次冲击13居然上去了2次。这个数据非常的具有偶然性,测试的数据是13%的成功率,我们都知道13是远远低于12的,所以这个数据是和运气相关的。我们究不说了。不过一点可以推测是12的几率是非常低的,倒是13貌似比较高一点(最后一点仅仅是个人感觉)!</p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 16px; margin-bottom: 16px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px;"><br></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 16px; margin-bottom: 16px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px;"><br></p><p style="-webkit-tap-highlight-color: transparent; box-sizing: border-box; margin-top: 16px; margin-bottom: 16px; color: rgb(34, 34, 34); font-family: "PingFang SC", "Hiragino Sans GB", "Microsoft YaHei", "WenQuanYi Micro Hei", "Helvetica Neue", Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 16px;">本文转载自今日头条-影视帝国VIP</p><p></p> 90a和90首饰的爆率也暗改,深渊基本上全是85的防具和90的武器 锻造才是坑 第六次加13成功!!! 反正比周一前有强化活动的时候好上 昨天6上7, 5次失败 5亿游戏币上不去12 那么多强化器,一个一个手点出来的吗 改得跟赤月传说一样了 我朋友卖金币刷了5万块钱的流水换的强化器13都上不去 再怎么改在我看来就两种结果,要么成功,要么失败 召唤师,11荒古上12,190个强化器,现在是9,哈哈,再给你冲一分钱剁手 强化活动还是很良心的!我9上10用了1700多万!连着失败20手!美滋滋! 昨天和朋友在微信上说准备脱坑,今天就登录不了,我就呵呵了,直接卸载 段召7到8一口气15次还在7,强化没我这坑吧 百分比没钱不敢玩
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